President Donald Trump’s job approval numbers have reached a new low, sitting at a mere 37.8% in the RealClearPolitics average of polls. I can already hear the cries of “fake news”, but none of the 2016 polls were off by 20 points, which is how far underwater Trump is 6 1/2 months into his administration.
That being said, it’s ridiculous to be polling potential primary challenges in 2020. No one has a damn clue how they’d vote if a serious challenge to a sitting president materialized. That didn’t stop American Research Group from asking:
These numbers look terrible for Trump, and they are. Still, I’m left scratching my head as to why Kasich would be the vehicle of anti-Trump resentment. Trump’s opposition within the Republican Party is split between moderates and diehard conservatives, and the latter group certainly wouldn’t be enthusiastic about John Kasich.
This is a man, after all, who expanded Medicaid in his state, has been open to salvaging Obamacare, and has been downright hostile to conservatives in Ohio. This is also a man who finished fourth in the Arizona primary when the race had already narrowed down to three candidates, showing his limited appeal.
This is a silly exercise designed to generate headlines. It will take more than some anemic approval numbers for a serious challenger to Trump within the Republican Party to emerge, and even if one does, even Jimmy Carter survived an intraparty primary challenge. If that sort of contest is to develop, can’t the #NeverTrump side do better than Kasich?